Are You Being Fooled By Statistics?

The world’s worst defender of statistical manipulation is the government, followed closely by the financial press. Yes, I guess that counts me too. We are two years away from our nation’s next presidential election, which has historically been good for stocks, so I thought I would normalize some of the government’s economic data to give you a better understanding of the true strength or weakness in our economy. I am not trying to persuade you one way or the other, I am merely trying to remove the deception from the data. I will present a case for the bears followed by the bulls, as there are two sides to every argument and I encourage you to make up your own opinion based on the facts.

Fin Alternatives
Multi-Manager July 27, 2007
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Emerging Manager Monthly
Taking The Lead September 2007
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Private portfolio management for individual and institutional clients.
The Guardian

Portfolio Description:
Many investors look forward to a more active, but very secure, retirement. Their idea of a perfect day is playing golf or bike riding on manicured paths, meeting friends for dinner at fine restaurants or working out at a well-appointed health club. In the investment world, this investor would be comfortable with The Guardian portfolio which offers a conservative and comfortable approach to investing.

Performance Objective:
Capital Growth with Capital Preservation

Risk Profile:
Conservative Growth

Minimum Investment:
$250,000
1 Year Time Horizon Recommended


Portfolio Composition
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